hand review

yayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy





FullTiltPoker Game #4185559473: Table Ballad (heads up) - $10/$20 - No Limit Hold'em - 16:02:16 ET - 2007/11/15
Seat 1: Kadabra ($8,798.25)
Seat 2: Fluffdog ($1,940)
Fluffdog posts the small blind of $10
Kadabra posts the big blind of $20
The button is in seat #2
*** HOLE CARDS ***
Dealt to Kadabra [9c 8s]
Fluffdog raises to $60
Kadabra raises to $180
Fluffdog calls $120
*** FLOP *** [Ts 6d 4c]
Kadabra bets $200
Fluffdog calls $200
*** TURN *** [Ts 6d 4c] [Qh]
Kadabra checks
Fluffdog has 15 seconds left to act
Fluffdog bets $440
Kadabra raises to $8,418.25, and is all in
Fluffdog has 15 seconds left to act
Fluffdog has requested TIME
Fluffdog: u show?
Fluffdog adds $880
Fluffdog folds
Uncalled bet of $7,978.25 returned to Kadabra
Kadabra mucks
Kadabra wins the pot ($1,639.50)
*** SUMMARY ***
Total pot $1,640 | Rake $0.50
Board: [Ts 6d 4c Qh]
Seat 1: Kadabra (big blind) collected ($1,639.50), mucked
Seat 2: Fluffdog (small blind) folded on the Turn






pre flop is pretty standard, his opening range is huge, so i keep him in check by raising a wider range. he callls

flop a gut shot, i make a light continuation bet, hoping he folds. he calls


i turn a great card, a Q. this now gives me a double gut shot, i have 8 outs

making me about 16% to win the hand.


i check he bets, he bet a little bit less than half the pot, this indicates to me he either, called with air, and is taking his steal attempt, or has a scared pair. he probably wouldnt do this with a medium strength hand like K10 or Q9 because he can be pushed off of it to easy. keeping in mind how big his calling range is preflop, i lean twords thinking he has a weaker hand, on top of this, most his good hands would of play more agressively on the flop, surely any 10 would of raised me.the Q probably didnt help him, so this is a good time to put him in, and even if he does call, we always have outs.

he can really only call here with a set, and a floated hand with a Q in it.

thats a very small % of his range.

lets see what the math looks like on this play

lets say 15% of his range can call here.

1200(.85) - 1310.4(.15) = 823.44



i get 1200, because thats what in the pot when i make the play, 1310.4 is what i lose 15% of the time (this factors out the 16% of the time i am called and hit my strait, otherwise it would be 1560, his whole stack+ his turn bet)